Before the peak: impacts of oil shortages on the developing world
International Social Science Journal
We explore the generally ignored reality that the petroleum shortage will occur before oil peaks, when the rate of growth falls below the rate of the growth of demand.
Ebenhack, B. W., & Martínez, D. M. (2005). Before the peak: Impacts of oil shortages on the developing world. International Social Science Journal, 57, 71-78. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2451.2009.00707.x